Nova Scotia Restores Economist's Faith
BACKGROUND: Nova Scotia Payday Loan Decision; Media Reaction
In making their decision to support a market-based solution to payday loan rate caps, one of the people the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board relied on quite heavily was Dr. Kevin Clinton, an economist who appeared as an expert witness:
"Based upon its review of the evidence in the present matter, the Board is satisfied that the payday loan marketplace in Nova Scotia is competitive, and it so finds as fact. Further, the Board accepts the evidence of Dr. Clinton to the effect that competition will even increase once regulation takes effect."I was interested to get Dr. Clinton's reaction to the Nova Scotia decision given that it was such a strong contrast to Manitoba's (Dr. Clinton was also an expert witness in Manitoba, but needless to say, that board did not share his views on how markets function). Here is what he had to say:
"The Board also accepts the evidence of Dr. Clinton respecting the difficulties which would be encountered in the event the Cost Approach was selected to determine the maximum cost of borrowing. In this regard, Dr. Clinton noted the difficulties in developing a standardized format to obtain cost data from different lenders."
"In setting the maximum cost of borrowing, the Board does not accept the Consumer Advocate's argument (an approach applied by the Manitoba Board) that the NSUARB should set a maximum rate such that only the "lowest cost" lenders will remain in the Nova Scotia marketplace, implying that such lenders are the only efficient lenders participating in the market. In the view of the NSUARB, based on the evidence presented at the hearing (especially that of Dr. Clinton), market competition provides a catalyst for efficiency. If there are fewer lenders in the market, there will be little or no incentive for them to be efficient and prices will tend to rise for consumers. Moreover, if rates are capped too low, near or below an amount which permits lenders to recover their costs and earn a reasonable profit, even the most "efficient" lenders will most likely withdraw from the market. The Board concludes that such scenarios would not be in the best interests of consumers and the Board considers it should address this point by setting a rate that will foster a healthy competitive marketplace."
"The Manitoba decision was so empty of reasoned economics & evidence that I stopped following payday lending developments. If these rulings are to be dominated by political factors, it is a waste of time for economists to participate. "After the decision in Nova Scotia, it is fair to say that Dr. Clinton is following payday loan developments again, his faith restored that there is room for reasoned economic debate on how to set a payday loan rate cap.
"The [Manitoba] PUB report makes elementary logical errors. For example, it betrays a complete misunderstanding of the concept of elasticity of demand. In buttressing their argument, they attribute to me views which I did not express, and which I believe to be wrong."
Labels: Canadian_Legislation







